Sportsbook UK
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FOOTBALL
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LAST WEEK - MAIN PICK BORO WON AT 7/2!
CHELSEA ARE VALUE AT 5/4
Su Nov 6 – 4.00 pm ko (SS1)
It’s a sign of the times that United find themselves at a top-priced 11/5 with bet365 for their home game against Chelsea on Sunday. That’s the first time United have been available at over treble-your-money odds to win a Premiership match at Old Trafford, but not too surprising considering their humbling loss to Boro last weekend (but no surprise to all the ‘in the game’ readers who hopefully took my advice and lumped on at 7/2!).
At the Riverside, the weaknesses in the United side were displayed for all to see, and they can take no comfort from their home form either. They’ve won only once at home this season and, with the likes of Man City, Spurs and Blackburn all nicking points in Manchester, the trip will hold no fears for Chelsea. Chelsea have been guilty of some slack defending recently, but Mourinho won’t allow that to happen here, and the 5/4 on Chelsea is the value bet of the match. Once the game goes live, don’t forget to check out our 14 Live In-play markets.
Live Game Pick: Chelsea @ 5/4
CITY 9/1 TO FINISH ABOVE THE REDS
Such is United’s form this season, they now find themselves below Manchester City in the standings, and we go 9/1 that City will finish above the Reds at the end of the campaign (1/33 Man Utd). With the Citizens looking vastly improved under Stuart Pearce, that price could have its backers, while the 12/1 for Ferguson to be the first top-flight manager to leave his club this term could also come under pressure depending on results this week. He’s also 5/1 not to be manager of United on the final day of the season, with Martin O’Neill seen as the most likely replacement at 7/4.
Chelsea can be the cornerstone of our Premiership acca this weekend, along with Blackburn to beat Charlton at 13/10. The Addicks don’t have don’t have a great record at Ewood Park (lost five of their last seven visits), and could be without some key players. West Ham (5/6) should be too good for West Brom, while Newcastle can be backed with confidence at 8/13 to beat Birmingham. The Toon are unbeaten at home since the arrival of Michael Owen, who is 7/2 to open the scoring on Saturday (money back if he scores the last goal in the game instead!). A £25 acca on our four fancied teams pays out £402.31 for a £25 stake, which includes a bet365 (up to 60% available every weekend).
Suggested Premiership Acca:
Chelsea, Blackburn, Newcastle & West Ham – pays £402.31 (£25 stake)
GOLF
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HOWELL A HOME TOWN BET AT 33/1
Th Nov 3 - 17.00 BST (SS2)
Fr Nov 4 - 17.00 BST (SS2)
Sa Nov 5 - 17.00 BST (SS2)
Su Nov 6 - 17.00 BST (SS2)
This week’s Tour championship from East Lake, Atlanta, Georgia, is the climax to the official US season, but for the bigger names on show, this could be one tournament too many. No guessing who’s favourite, but do you really want to be backing Tiger at 13/5 considering his persistent inaccuracy off the tee and the fact that he’s not at his best on par-70 courses. He’s not for me, and neither is Vijay Singh (can’t putt for
toffee) or previous course winner Retief Goosen, who would have been the pick but for some extremely shoddy play last week. So, with Woods’
immediate rivals unlikely to prosper, there has to a chance of an upset this week.
Georgia native Charles Howell is worth a bet on his record in this event alone. When he first qualified for this event in 2002, he battled Vijay all the way before finishing second, and followed that with another second place finish in 2003. On both occasions, he held the lead going into the weekend (which makes him an interesting bet at 14/1 to be ‘First Round Leader’), and he’s been playing nicely this month too. Last week’s 16th spot was a good effort under pressure as it secured him his place in the field, and the in-form home town player simply has to be backed at 33/1
(35/1 Enhanced Win Only Odds).
There would be more confidence in the second selection, Chad Campbell, if the event was being played in his home state of Texas, the scene of his
2003 Tour Championship victory. However, last week’s close call in the Chrysler Championship bodes well for his chances here, and he’ll see this as an opportunity to close what has been a largely disappointing year by his standards in style. The 25/1 (28/1 EWO) could look big come Sunday, but even then you’re assured of getting on via our live ‘In-Play Console.’
At much bigger odds this week, I also like the look of Sean O’Hair. The 23-year-old has had a fantastic rookie season on Tour, winning his first title at the John Deere Classic in July. That win allowed him to play in the Open at St Andrews, and by finishing 15th there, he showed that he was going to be a big-time player. Despite this success, he was still allowed to go off at 100/1 for the Chrysler Championship last week, where he almost rewarded each way support by finishing tenth. In this week’s limited field (only top-30 on Tour qualify), and with question marks over his better fancied rivals, he looks a great each way bet at the bet365 standout price of 66/1 (1/4 odds 1.2.3.4)
Nigel’s Tour Championship Three Off The Tee: Chad Campbell @ 25/1; Charles Howell @ 33/1; Sean O’Hair @ 66/1
HORSE RACING
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LAST WEEK – FOUR WINNERS AT THE BREEDERS CUP METTING, INCLUDING SILVER TRAIN AT 8/1!
FOLLOW THE STABLE IN FORM
At this time of the year, trainer form counts for more than anything, and anyone following the stable of Heather Dalton recently would have been quids in. The success of Model Son at Carlisle last Sunday was yet another well-backed winner for the yard in the past couple of weeks and, judging by the manner of his victory, he should be followed until beaten. His target is likely to be the Feltham Chase at Sandown over Christmas, while the impressive Aintree winner, Jorobaden, is another that should have a big race in him. However, we don’t have to wait that long to profit from the trainer’s fantastic form. Her Ronsard is very interesting back on the sand at Wolverhampton on Saturday, now he’s better handicapped than when first coming over form Ireland (runs off 65 for this race, having been 81 at one stage).
BACK CAPTAIN KIRK AT 8/1
After a slow start to the season, Sylvester Kirk also has his horses in fine form, and he can take the flat season’s final big race, the November Handicap at Doncaster (3.35), with Group Captain. This one revelled in the soft ground conditions when winning for the fourth time this year over course and distance recently and, with ground conditions again likely to be in his favour, he looks a decent 8/1 shot to win again. If he does, don’t forget to have you free bet on the next live Channel 4 race (3.45 Wincanton).
bet365 latest November Handicap prices … Ebtikaar 6/1, Gold Gun 7/1, Group Captain 8/1, Crosspeace 9/1, Lets Roll, Spear Thistle 10/1, others on website
Over the jumps at Wincanton, the best bet is Triumph Hurdle winner Penzance in the Elite Hurdle (3.45). Alan King’s hurdler looked a bit special when beating Faasel (who went on to frank the form at Aintree) at Cheltenham last season, and could go all the way to the top this season (16/1 for the Champion Hurdle with bet365). Paul Nicholls rarely leaves this course empty handed, and he should be on the mark with Red Devil Robert (3.15), who can give the trainer his fifth win in seven renewals of this race. Both races will be screened live on Channel 4, but don’t worry if you can’t get to the TV, as you can watch your selections live here at bet365. Just bet £5 and click on the live stream next to the race.
Get in the game and be lucky!
Nigel.
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